Quote:

I'm pretty sure sales predictions don't work this, either. Like you said, it's a popularity poll. More specifically, it's a poll asking a sample of Oricon subscribers what they may buy. In fact, let's look somewhere else.

Quote:

I'm pretty sure the same logic applies (and stands out even more!) to cross-predictions with other artists sales, especially those who are sales-anomalies when put in the context of Oricon 2010 (although I think Arashi has been going strong for years now). So, no, no one should really be expecting a minimum value (much less a range) based on ninki. Recent sales trajectories vs. results are more reliable. Not to mention demographics and all that.

I'm just cautioning people not to get their hopes up for this type of thing. Saves the people who really, really care the gnashing of teeth and a compulsion to start multiple threads protesting that unless SC vol. 2 is at a certain chart position above "no talent boybands/girlbands", "real music" that "deserved" the top spot has been defeated for all eternity.